"The target would be Pickaxe Mountain": Donald Trump may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran, says Tucker Carlson

With the midterm elections approaching, President Donald Trump may be preparing for a significant overseas initiative. Former Fox News political commentator Tucker Carlson posted a long story on his X (formerly Twitter) account about Israel pressuring the US government to attack Iran using a nuclear missile.

It should be noted that nothing is set in stone, and even the article pointed out that the president might be avoiding attacking Iran for now. We may learn more this coming Saturday, November 7, 2026. Carlson also said that Donald Trump might be targeting the Pickaxe Mountain in Iran.

"Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickaxe Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program."

This attack is not Donald Trump's plan

Tucker Carlson

@TuckerCarlson

Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer.​Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.​To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.​The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.​And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.​We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it.​Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.​They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.​One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.

Carlson says that Trump is a bit hesitant to carry on with this attack and that it is Benjamin Netanyahu who is pressuring the US government to attack Iran. Carlson suggests that the Israeli politician is asking the US government to carry on with this attack because last week's election loss left him cornered. As for the reason for using a nuclear weapon, Carlson said:

"No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer."

Tucker Carlson's post says that, in addition to pressuring Donald Trump, Netanyahu is doing the same with other allies in the US government, including CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth.

Moreover, Carlson's post revealed that CIA director John Ratcliffe and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are following Netanyahu’s lead. Moreover, some Democratic Party leaders are also supporting Benjamin Netanyahu. Carlson especially cited former president Barack Obama as an example, who said he was opposed to the Iran peace deal, which is currently being drafted in Doha.

But despite some support in the US, there are factors that Donald Trump needs to consider before he approves a nuclear strike on the Pickaxe Mountain.

The US's Middle Eastern allies don't want more war

Carlson says that the biggest opponents of this attack are the United States' allies in the Middle East because they don't want further war. The post then reveals that the UAE refused Netanyahu's request to join Israel in a joint attack on Iran during Netanyahu's visit in September 2026. But the post states that the Gulf economies have been struggling since the war started early this year.

Moreover, Carlson pointed out the devastating fallout from a possible nuclear attack on the Pickaxe Mountain. It would poison the water supply for 100 million people.

Moreover, the nuclear attack could also adversely affect the world. Carlson's exact words were:

"No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine."

The post continued:

"Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final."

Trump hasn't decided on this plan yet

Carlson then goes on to say that Donald Trump will decide whether to go ahead with this plan or not by this coming Saturday, just a few days after the midterm elections. The post also suggests that Trump is hesitating to take this nuclear option and is listening to the United States Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, and vice president JD Vance, who believe that a deal with Iran is possible.

The post points out that negotiating with the Iranian government has been a bit frustrating, as it has been radicalized since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family's death in February 2026.

Carlson's post ends on a sympathetic note about all the people who would be affected if Donald Trump is pushed to carry on with Benjamin Netanyahu's plan to carry out a nuclear attack on Iran.

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